Skip to main content

The Bubble in Higher Education: Why Paying Educators More Is Not the Solution


A common fallacy in the debate on education spending is that confusion between paying teachers and funding education. The payment of individuals who identify as teachers is not a direct correlate to, much less a cause of, educational advancement. 

Perhaps the greatest discontinuity across modern intellectualism is that among professional educators who advocate simultaneously for more affordable, accessible education and higher salaries for those who deliver it. Of course, the law of supply and demand demonstrates the effects of higher prices in relation to quantity demanded, and this is surely consistent with the market behaviors of these educators in their own respective commercial endeavors. Yet this will clearly never stifle the frothy, emotional ambitions of those whose imaginations possess the capacity to envision something greater, more civil, or even more utopian. After all, each of the world's calamities is merely one college graduate away from impending nirvana.

In the end, the curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design. For this very reason, the economist is often dismissed from the intellectual table as heartless or inhumane. The economist, however, is the person who has successfully suspended his role as the active participant to instead favor that of the active surveyor of human action. To more clearly understand the causes of the modern mortgage-style debt crisis confronting college graduates, and to therefore comprehend the mechanisms buttressing artificially high costs for higher education, one must examine the means by which the debt, now collectively over $1.1 trillion, was enabled.

Oddly enough, the bubble in higher education fails to differ much from the causes of the bubbles in information technology, the NASDAQ, the real estate market, the United States bond market, and even the 17th century tulip mania. Each of these market responses spawned from the distortion, per-capita reduction, and collectivization of risk by exogenous institutions, whether congressional or parliamentary. The modern cases of the dot-com bubble, the housing boom and bust, the United States bond bubble, and the bubble in higher education have been the consequence of loan guarantees crossed with artificially-low rates of interest, or teaser rates, which originally enticed otherwise nonviable consumers to invest in product which they could ill-afford upon reset rates. In the specific case of college graduates, the federal government, chiefly through the Department of Education, has advanced moral hazard at these artificially low rates of interest by escalating its total volume of consumer loans. Unscrupulous purchases by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Sallie Mae, and the Department of Education, along with purchases by the Federal Reserve and its zero-interest rate policy, have encouraged and continue to encourage consumer debt to chase goods whose principal costs, not to mention the interest and capitalization of this debt, will be surely met with a general population empirically ill-equipped to bear the cost.

The introduction of this moral hazard only pairs higher education, a scarce resource, with an exorbitant level of demand whose efficacy as a tool for higher returns, presumably the object of the investment in higher education, at least at the individual level, has gone unrealized for a majority of recent graduates, whose opportunity costs in alternative investments, apprenticeships, internships, and other avenues for professional, financial development might have yielded more desirable, substantial outcomes. A wager on the S&P 500, for example, could have secured a 189% nominal return, while a certificate of deposit could have yielded no less than a 105% nominal return of funds.







The data illustrate that the modern college graduate has pursued college education out of expedience, delusions of grandeur, and convention. The average student will graduate with a skill set consistent with that of a liberal arts degree met with a starting salary barely equivalent to his outstanding student loan debt. College education today is plainly far more expensive and over-utilized than it would be absent the moral hazard of artificially-low interest rates, guaranteed loans and grants.

Let us conceptualize the costs of education through historical comparison: In 1914, Henry Ford began to pay his factory workers five dollars per day. At that rate, a factory worker could cover his son's annual tuition expenses at Yale through only thirty-two days of work. Today's factory workers at Ford earn approximately $250 per day, which equates to 162 days of work for one year of tuition at Yale. Today's autoworkers, however, must also pay payroll and income taxes which did not exist in 1914. A reduction of gross income by a conservative 25% returns an annual take-home amount nearly equivalent to an entire year of tuition at Yale. Might one reasonably expect the costs of education to decline over time, considering the remarkable advances in technology, telecommunication, and mass production of and accessibility to these resources? Consider Wikipedia, TED Talks, Open Education Database, Google, and the abundance of podcasts, tutorials, and audiobooks which are readily available online.



It is, after all, the distorted and artificial mechanism of government which has encouraged demand to widely and indiscreetly chase the scarce resource of higher education. Without the artificial supports of guaranteed loans, grants, and low interest rates, colleges and universities would need to slash their prices, tighten their budgets, and reduce their extravagance to adjust for diminished effective demand. In keeping with the general trends in university construction and real estate development across the United States, Americans have lived beyond their means for far too long. They have been enabled by a grotesque measure of debt, by now greater than the nation's annual gross domestic product, which invariably draws from the capacity of future consumption. A correction in the United States bond market, equities markets, the United States dollar, American commercial and residential real estate, its underlying service industry, and the market for higher education, will reveal the consequences of these actions.

Those who advocate for higher salaries for educators while simultaneously supporting greater accessibility to and affordability of higher education simply fail to recognize the contradiction of these terms and the net effects of systemic financial redistribution to a field whose producers, keeping all else constant, will find little benefit beyond nominal profits, who will thereby gain no immediate or even incidental supplemental skills to benefit their students, who will eventually be replaced by a more skilled, potentially enervated professional whose previous industry could no longer compete to sufficiently appeal to the laborer, and whose purchasing power per dollar would only diminish due to its redistribution from capital investment, research and development to a means of greater consumption. Each of the platitudes which directs this form of blissful advocacy cloaks the underpinnings of commercial development: higher education is the means, not the ends in and of itself, to a higher standard of productivity and living. It is still, however, the production of goods and the efficacious mechanisms thereof which enable a lower cost of living and its concomitant higher standard of living. Throwing more money at a perceived problem will not alone solve it. In fact, there are no solutions, only tradeoffs. In the end, this seems to only make that problem more expensive.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Summarizing the “Separation of Church and State”

There is much confusion surrounding the concept of the “separation of church and state”; much of it likely born out of the steep secular decline in religious affiliation across recent generations, with particular emphasis among atheists and anti-deists.  While many have hastened to leverage this language (“separation of church and state”) in order to condemn or censure religious values — particularly those which are Christian — where they have carried influence in public life (i.e. prayer in schools, teachers covering lessons from the Bible, government representatives appealing to God, coinage bearing the words “In God We Trust”), the truth is that this “separation” was never expected to completely eliminate religious practice or religious sentiment from all matter of public life. In fact, religion was so deeply enmeshed in American life during the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries that the French magistrate and prison reformer Gustave de Beaumont, during his nine-month tour of A...

The Deal with Tariffs

Over the course of President Trump’s two terms, there has been much talk around the matter of tariffs — taxes on imported goods. However, much of the talk seems to miss the point. After all, for those of us who seek the truth, it’s not really a question of whether tariffs are ‘good’ but whether they are preferable to other kinds of taxes — assuming, of course, that taxes are the rule, as certain as the eventuality of death. First, let’s establish the theory: beyond the generic purpose of revenue generation for the state, the institution of tariffs ordinarily serves to  reduce (or discourage) imports by making them artificially more expensive, while encouraging domestic production by making domestic products more appealing on a relative price basis. In the realm of foreign affairs, tariffs are instituted or threatened in the course of international trade negotiations in order to signal dissatisfaction with existing trade barriers and to push for more favorable trade terms; or in ord...

Cullen Roche's Not So "Pragmatic Capitalism"

In his riveting new work Pragmatic Capitalism , Cullen Roche, founder of Orcam Financial Group, a San Diego-based financial firm, sets out to correct the mainstream schools of economic thought, focusing on  Keynesians, Monetarists, and Austrians alike. This new macroeconomic perspective claims to reveal What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance . Indeed, Roche introduces the layman to various elementary principles of economics and financial markets, revealing in early chapters the failed state of the average hedge fund and mutual fund operators  —  who are better car salesmen than financial pundits, Roche writes  —   who have fallen victim to the groupthink phenomenon, responsible for their nearly perfect positive correlation to the major indexes; and thus, accounting for tax, inflation, and service adjustments, holistically wiping out any value added by their professed market insight.  Roche also references popular stu...

The ‘Values’ Problem in the NFL

Every year, there is talk across the major sports leagues about which players are due for contract extensions and huge paydays. The chatter is seemingly endless, and it often seems to cast a shadow over the sports themselves — talking heads arguing and debating, insisting that so-and-so is going to ‘reset the market’ or so-and-so is demanding the ‘market rate’ for his position.  This is where the conversation goes awry, economically speaking.  The truth is that players  are not commodities: they are neither fungible nor interchangeable. Each player brings a distinct skill set, and each team operates within a unique scheme, meaning that each player’s value is situational rather than universal. There is, thus, no ‘market rate’ for any player or position; contracts exist in relation to each team’s particular situation, and every dollar spent on one player (in a salary-cap league) directly reduces the resources available for others — where ‘overspending’ in any case necessari...

Fischer: Tortured in the Pasadena Jailhouse (featuring the Morals of Chess by Benjamin Franklin)

Buy your copy today of  Fischer: Tortured in the Pasadena Jailhouse (featuring the Morals of Chess by Benjamin Franklin) , available at  Amazon  and Barnes & Noble . The name Bobby Fischer reigns supreme in the world of chess, yet there was a time when it hogged headlines, struck fear into the eyes of the competition, and was on the lips of folks all across the globe. More than the face of the centuries-old game, there was a time when Bobby Fischer was synonymous with the cause and spirit of America, that his moves on the chessboard sought more than checkmate but to pit the strength of “raw-boned American individualism” against “the Soviet megalithic system” which had come to dominate the game of chess at the same time it dominated Cold War politics. Fischer’s triumph over the USSR's Boris Spassky in the ’72 World Chess Championship would ultimately be celebrated as a symbolic and diplomatic victory for the U.S., but, as time would tell, it would not mean the American...

Death By Cop

A  recent post from a popular YouTube channel has provided more evidence of that which is blatantly obvious in modern America, at least to those who are willing to face the truth: the fact that cops, as with the governments they serve, are the enemy to goodness, justice, and American liberty.  This latest post is from The Civil Rights Lawyer, a channel (by a practicing civil rights lawyer) documenting police misconduct and civil rights violations since the year 2020. This time, it is a case of an elderly man, a former pastor suffering from dementia, murdered at the hands of “ the very people who were supposed to protect and care for him”: “Officers were dispatched to a business to assist an elderly customer who appeared to be suffering from dementia. At the scene, officers found him extremely confused. He told them the year was 1948 and that the president was George Washington. So they call his daughter to come pick him up. So how did things go so terribly wrong that day, tha...

Their Lives, Their Fortunes, and Their Sacred Honor

A  recent YouTube post by the political organization PragerU betrays the truth about the American Revolution. It goes as follows: “Britain spent a fortune defending the colonies in the French & Indian War. America’s response? Boycotts, protests, rebellion. Ingratitude that sparked a revolution.” This description of history is not just a reductive reframing of the issues; it is a crude and provocative statement insulting the intelligence of Americans who remember their history and disrespecting the men who staked everything in their noblest of causes during the American Revolution.  One commenter in the comments section even sided with PragerU, taking to task any who dares criticize the post: “Are you incapable of creating scenarios from the opposite side?” Unfortunately for this commenter, true history isn’t about “creating scenarios”; it’s about understanding what actually happened — the totality of the circumstances. So, let us do just that: let’s get straight to the fac...

“Stolen Land”

The claim that America was built on “stolen land” is not only a politically-loaded oversimplification, but a deliberately narrow framing that keeps America — and America alone — under perpetual moral scrutiny. It collapses fundamentally different actors, motives, and historical processes into a single accusation, thereby obscuring more than it explains. At a macro political level, land claims have  always  been in flux. Long before European contact, tribes across North America routinely warred over territory, resources, hunting grounds, and waterways. Claims were seasonal, contingent, and often overlapping, shaped by migration patterns, environmental conditions, and intertribal treaties that themselves shifted over time.  Had Europeans never settled in America, this dynamic would have continued to dominate; it was the prevailing condition of the continent. From this perspective, “ownership” has never been an abstract moral constant but a function of enforceability under a...

Taxation Without Representation

During the American Revolution, one of the most popular rallying cries was “No taxation without representation!” This came at a time when the American colonists were being subjected to progressively higher taxes — imposed on progressively greater numbers of goods — levied by the Crown with the assurance that the colonists enjoyed “virtual representation”. Of course, this “virtual representation” was no representation at all, as the “virtual representative” was not elected by the colonists nor disposed to their grievances.  Well, there are those among us who fail to recognize (or to admit) the parallels present in the modern day, where taxes on Americans are not just unfathomably higher than when the colonists decried the injustice; they are just part of the total cost imposed upon a people not present in the negotiations nor properly represented in the government which claims to have resolved the problems of the past. A recent YouTube comment illustrates the misconception: “ T...

Church Over Christ

The true “believer” is revealed by the consistency between his beliefs and his behavior. If someone truly believes that eternal destinies are at stake — that heaven and hell are real, that the consequences are everlasting, and that salvation depends upon faith or works — then the stakes are not merely high but infinite: infinite in degree and in scope, with the effects propagating into the future as humanity continues generation after generation. The number of souls at risk is not just in the billions today but expands indefinitely into the future. If that framework is taken seriously, then the rational response would seem to be an overwhelming sense urgency by those who claim to appreciate the stakes. Everything else — career, comfort, reputation, leisure — would become secondary to the singular task of “saving” as many people as possible. Yet, despite the billions who claim to be Christian — or who claim to believe in any God — there are precious few who make this their life’s purpos...